How Does the Conflict in the Middle East Affect Oil Prices?

Яна Орехова Exclusive
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At the beginning of 2026, the situation in the Middle East escalated, becoming one of the main factors for the rise in geopolitical tension and leading to a significant increase in energy resource prices. This raises questions among market participants about the impact of these events on investors.

At the end of February 2026, the USA and Israel conducted airstrikes on Iranian facilities, which provoked a sharp increase in regional tensions. An important event for the oil market was Iran's decision to close the Strait of Hormuz, through which about 20% of the world's maritime oil trade passes. Against the backdrop of attacks on energy infrastructure and threats to shipping security, investors began to factor in the risk of a reduction in global supplies into prices. Increased uncertainty traditionally leads to rising prices, as market participants are willing to pay more per barrel, fearing a sharp decline in the supply of "black gold."

Thus, on the first trading day after the escalation of the conflict, March 1, 2026, the price of Brent crude oil rose by approximately 10%, reaching around $78 per barrel. In comparison, at the beginning of January 2026, when the USA had just begun to deploy troops to the region, the price per barrel was about $60. This means that if an investor had invested $1,000 in oil during that period, their potential return by the beginning of March could have exceeded 20% in dollars in just two months.

Similar changes were observed in other energy resources, including American WTI crude oil. This demonstrates that in conditions of geopolitical instability, increased interest is noted not only in specific types of oil but also across the entire spectrum of energy assets.

What trading strategies are applicable for earning on energy resources?


In conditions of high volatility in the oil market, investors can employ various trading strategies. The most obvious of these is to open a long position if further price increases are expected due to the escalation of the conflict and supply disruption risks. The oil market is particularly sensitive to geopolitical events, especially in production regions and key transportation routes. Therefore, such events often lead to sharp price fluctuations.

Additionally, experienced traders actively use short-term strategies. After significant news releases, oil prices can change rapidly, creating opportunities for profit both on the rise and fall of the asset's value. Some investors also use combined approaches or hedging methods, distributing capital among various energy market instruments. This helps to reduce the risks of a potential price reversal and maintain the stability of the investment portfolio in uncertain conditions.

Thus, the growing geopolitical tension in the Middle East has become a powerful catalyst for rising oil prices. In such conditions, investors should closely monitor the news and effectively manage risks to maximize emerging market opportunities and act successfully in financial markets.

The post How the Conflict in the Middle East Affects Oil Prices? first appeared on the K-News website.
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