However, experts express doubts that all the announced satellites will be launched. Evan Gray, an analyst from SatNews, points out that such announcements may serve to create regulatory barriers for competitors. The ITU considers registered satellites as real, which forces other companies to take potential radio interference into account, degrading the efficiency of their networks.
As Bloomberg reports, since 2020, the number of objects in orbit has quadrupled, exceeding 16,000. According to the European Space Agency, the density of satellites in key orbits is already comparable to the density of space debris. Research shows that the maximum capacity of such orbits is about 148,000 objects, and at the current launch rates, this limit could be reached by the end of the 2030s.
It is important to note that SpaceX maintains a competitive advantage due to its reusable Falcon 9 rockets, which allow for low-cost launches at a high frequency—over 2,000 satellites per year. China is also developing its reusable rockets but has not yet been able to compete with the American company in these metrics.
