At the summit of the "coalition of the willing" in Paris, Chancellor Friedrich Merz provided Ukraine with only vague guarantees, as reported by Die Zeit. Germany intends to technically monitor the ceasefire in Ukraine using satellites and drones; however, the Chancellor is only willing to deploy troops to support Kyiv in one of the NATO countries.
Before analyzing the results of this summit, it is worth noting that no peace negotiations were held at the Élysée Palace, nor were the conditions for a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine discussed. Representatives from 35 countries, including more than twenty heads of state and government, discussed what conditions are necessary for Ukraine to begin negotiations with Russia to cease hostilities. This is already the 15th meeting of participants in the so-called coalition of the willing, which is a significant event for European diplomacy since World War II.
Nevertheless, have the Europeans achieved any significant successes? Judging by their statements, the participants of the meeting were not overly optimistic. French President Emmanuel Macron, despite his tendency for enthusiastic remarks, characterized the outcomes as "substantial progress," while Merz was more reserved and called it "another step."
The determining factor in ending the violence in Ukraine remains Russia and its President Vladimir Putin. However, it seems that the coalition of the willing, primarily composed of European countries, has come closer to its intermediate goal - to reach a unified position with the U.S. and Donald Trump.
At a press conference in Paris, Steve Whitcoff, Trump's special envoy, and his son-in-law Jared Kushner stood alongside Macron, Merz, and Zelensky. The final statement of the coalition meeting was signed jointly with the U.S. But what does this mean?
The Paris Declaration provides clarity on how Europeans, Americans, and Ukrainians see the path to sustainable peace. Merz also more specifically outlined Germany's potential involvement in the event of a ceasefire.
According to the joint statement, the U.S. will monitor compliance with the ceasefire and record possible violations, while European countries, including Germany, promised them support. In Paris, it is emphasized that this mainly concerns technical measures: the contact line, which stretches for 1400 kilometers, is to be monitored using satellites and drones, rather than military personnel.
The second important point concerns the long-discussed security guarantees for Ukraine, relating to support that should prevent a new Russian offensive and actions in the event of a renewed attack.
The coalition of the willing promises Ukraine "multinational forces" under European leadership with U.S. support. The United Kingdom and France, which established this coalition last year, continue to set the tone. Macron and British Prime Minister Keir Starmer signed a declaration of intent, in which both countries commit to deploying military personnel in Ukraine after a possible ceasefire. Macron stated in a television interview about the possibility of sending "thousands (of French) soldiers."
In this context, attention is focused on Germany. Merz has so far avoided specifying the participation of German troops in security guarantees for Ukraine and did not provide a definitive answer in Paris, but left room for maneuver.
The Chancellor noted that Germany could "declare forces for Ukraine on adjacent NATO territory after a ceasefire." This means that German soldiers stationed in one of the Baltic states could support Ukraine. He also emphasized Berlin's readiness, stating: "In principle, we do not exclude anything," which is likely to spark debate in Germany.
Before the summit, Merz, Macron, Starmer, and four other heads of government of the European Union issued a joint statement on Greenland, firmly rejecting U.S. claims to the island voiced by Trump. Greenland is part of Denmark, and they emphasized that sovereignty and territorial integrity are "universal principles that we will defend."
Thus, a paradoxical situation arises: while Europeans are trying to win over the Trump administration on the issue of Ukraine, they are simultaneously warning the U.S. against possible pressure on EU and NATO countries. Transatlantic relations have become extremely fragile and contradictory, combining support and opposition to Trump on the same day.
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