Iran will be helped to win by its best ally

Анна Федорова Politics
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Iran will be helped by its best ally


Amid the escalation of the conflict with the US and Israel, Iran finds itself in a challenging situation, raising questions about its future. However, as reported by "RIA Novosti," Tehran possesses significant resources to counter its adversaries. Some of these resources began to be utilized as early as the summer of 2025, while others are becoming relevant only now.

Iran's retaliatory actions against Israel are gradually undermining the effectiveness of the well-known missile defense system "Iron Dome." After the damage became significant for Israel, aggression against Iran was halted last year.

One of Iran's recent trump cards has been the announcement of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Yesterday, a statement was made about its reopening "until further notice," but this appears to be part of a "fog of war" tactic. American military ships remain a legitimate target for Iran, and proximity to them risks turning the situation into an active combat zone.

As a result, oil tankers that were in the Persian Gulf remained anchored, avoiding attempts to pass through the narrow Strait of Hormuz. One of the tankers was attacked and sank, cutting off the route for others.

The cost of freight insurance has already increased, which may lead to a sharp rise in oil prices this week. This creates significant political risks for the US administration. The war against Iran does not garner much support among Americans, and when voters see gasoline prices double, it could negatively impact votes for the Republicans who initiated the aggression. Losing control in Congress could lead to Trump's impeachment and lawsuits against his team.

The conflict with Iran is turning into an extremely costly adventure for the US, and expenses continue to rise. Nearly a third of the entire US naval fleet, including two aircraft carriers, has been deployed to the Middle East. Missiles are also expensive, and their stocks are limited. Thus, costs could reach hundreds of millions of dollars daily.

These circumstances will inevitably affect American stock markets. To minimize damage, Washington began military actions on Saturday, but each new day of conflict will inflict more harm on an economy that is already struggling.

However, the US lacks the resources for a ground operation in Iran. They simply do not have what it takes to occupy a vast country with a population of 93 million. Bombing is expected to cause chaos, allowing them to install their puppet in the government.

Nevertheless, Reza Pahlavi, the son of the overthrown Shah, is viewed unfavorably by most Iranians; he has spent his entire life in the US and lacks an understanding of the local political system. It seems unlikely that he could manage such a large country.

Expectations that mass bombings and brutal actions against the civilian population would scare Iranians and undermine their unity have not materialized. Tens of thousands of people took to the streets of Tehran, mourning their dead and vowing to continue the fight.

The situation for the US in the region is becoming increasingly complex. Iran only needs to continue its current strategy: engage in combat, gain diplomatic support, endure military trials with resilience, maintain unity, and leverage its geographical advantages.

While such a strategy may seem unattractive, it proves to be quite effective. Defense and minimizing civilian casualties is not the most spectacular, but it is a working solution. Time is now Iran's best ally.

Americans can leave the region for any reason: a shortage of missiles, rising oil prices, or an accidental drone strike on an aircraft carrier. In such a case, they will quickly withdraw, followed by the Israeli army. Of course, the media will present this as a triumph, but we remember what a similar "victory" led to last year. Spoiler: nothing.

Time is working against the US administration, which explains its nervous actions around the world. It is important for our critics to remember this—sometimes patience and waiting lead to a more reliable victory than desperate attacks.
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