The Head of the IMF Named 4 Factors of Global Economic Resilience

Анна Федорова Economy
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- According to Kristalina Georgieva, the Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), several key factors influence the resilience of the global economy, including private sector activity, the restrained impact of trade tensions, the growing significance of artificial intelligence, and government support measures for businesses and households. She expressed these thoughts during an interview at the World Economic Forum, where she also announced that the IMF has updated its forecasts for global economic growth, raising it to 3.3% for 2026 and to 3.2% for 2027. These new estimates have returned to the levels provided back in October, before the escalation of tariff conflicts. However, the current growth rates remain below the pre-pandemic average of 3.8%.

Georgieva highlighted four main factors contributing to the resilience of the global economy.

1. The Role of the Private Sector

In various countries, governments have started to reduce their intervention in corporate management, allowing businesses to take on a primary role. This approach has enabled the private sector to demonstrate flexibility and adaptability, positively impacting economic performance.

2. The State of Trade

Despite existing concerns and the imposition of tariffs, global trade has not faced serious barriers, and its impact on economic growth has been moderate. Most countries preferred not to introduce retaliatory measures and to maintain existing rules of international trade.

3. Artificial Intelligence

With prudent and responsible implementation, AI can contribute to global GDP growth by nearly one percentage point, enhancing productivity and opening up new economic opportunities.

4. Economic Policy

Georgieva noted that governments are generally managing economic policy successfully, supporting both businesses and households.

Nevertheless, she pointed out the decline in productivity as a primary structural constraint on growth, especially in developed countries. In Europe, according to her, the potential of the single market has not yet been fully realized, and completing the necessary structural reforms could significantly accelerate the region's economic growth.

Touching on the geopolitical situation, Georgieva noted that it has both negative and positive impacts on the global economy. In the context of ongoing conflicts, it is important to consider the positive aspects as well — the strengthening of regional cooperation and the emergence of new centers of economic growth in a multipolar world.

“Resilience should not be taken for granted. It needs to be constantly maintained, as ultimately it concerns the well-being of people,” concluded the head of the IMF.
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